Тред №116384

Aims of USA

1)		The main aims of USA are:
	a)	To restart their financial system and to solve the problem of loans.
	b)	To restart system of global taxation.
	c)	To restart real national economy.
2)		To hyperinflate USD at least at least at 3 – 5 times.
3)		It’s necessary to prepare hyperinflation in order USD not to be isolated and remain a first world currency.
4)		In order to achieve the goal established in previous clause it’ necessary to do following things:
	a)	To burn the majority of competing capitals.
	b)	To destabilisate all competing economies and then put them under the USA’s control.
	c)	To weaken or even destroy all centers of power in the world (EU, China, Russia, potentially India, Japan, Brazil and so one).
5)		The next things a necessary to fulfill points 4a, 4b and 4c:
	a)	Continuing cycle of revaluation of USD.
	b)	Economic collapse in majority of other countries.
6)		To fulfill point 4b it’s also necessary to do following things:
	a)	To destroy world energy market
	b)	To start regional destructive processes in Eurasia: in Europe, Indostan, former USSR, Near and Middle East.

Phases of crisis

Crisis can be divided into 7 phases (some of them are already in past). This scenario is optimal for USA according to their aims. This scenario also assumes that other forces in the world wouldn’t do anything to prevent USA’s scenario.
It’s also necessary to remember, that the beginning of the new phase doesn’t always mean the end of the previous one, so two phases can exist at the same time. End and beginning of each phase are not instant and took a period of time, usually few months.

1) Speculative crisis.
Middle of 2007 – 2nd quarter of 2008.
The first decrease on stock market and in the real estate sector, flight of capitals from them to gold and commodities. Devaluation of US dollar, slowing down of inflation.
Real devaluation of USD ended in March 2008, when USD index began to grow up. Growth on commodities markets ended in the middle of July 2008, when oil price began to reduce.

2) Economic recession.
2nd and 3rd quarters of 2008
Continuation of decreasing of markets, stagnation in manufacturing sector, beginning of commodity markets reduction, flight of dollars into US Treasuries, decreasing of profitability of US Treasuries, revaluation of US dollar and zero inflation.
First signs of this phase appeared at the end of 2007, when GDP of USA began to decrease. The bankruptcy of the Lehman Brothers Holdings, Inc. in the September 2008 can be considered as the end of this phase.

3) Crisis of consumption
2nd half of 2008, especially 4th quarter of 2008.
Mass defaults and bankruptcies of individuals, sharp reduction of charges, strong decline of the consumer market, deflation, acceleration of USD revaluation.
Problems in the consumer market began before the Lehman Brothers’ bankruptcy (first of them even in the beginning of 2008), but evident signs of this phase appeared only in the last third of 2008, when mass escape of capitals to USD with it’s explosive revaluation began. In this time demand on US Treasuries was so high, that their profitability failed to zero (and even lower). It was accompanied by crises in other (especially developing) countries and capital flights from them.
The beginning of global protectionist fight also connected with this phase.

4) Industrial crisis
End of 2008 – first half of 2009.
Industrial crisis, investment crisis, mass bankruptcies, mass lay-offs and salary cuts, intensification of crisis of consumption. Continuation of declining of all markets (including stock, commodities and real estates). Acceleration of deflation and revaluation of dollar.
It’s rather difficult to say, when this phase will come to end, because the full image is strongly deformed by the next phase that has begun too early. But we can see bright evidences of this phase: for example, Chrysler’s bankruptcy application, that was given some days ago. It’s not usual bankruptcy, after which company disappears, but it is bankruptcy.

5) Budget crisis
End of 2008 – end of 2009 or beginning of 2010.
Attempt to stop an economic collapse and to compensate sharp decrease of taxes by prompt growth of governmental expenses due to explosive growth of external borrowings. Apparent stabilization of economy, slowdown of inflation, stabilization of US dollar exchange rate.
This phase should begin at the middle of 2009, but it started at the same time as the previous phase (and strongly affected it).So we can see extreme growth of governmental borrowings and signs of recovery in economy: growth of all markets, stabilization of USD. But it isn’t real recovery: all dangerous cash breaks were simply filled with money – but real problems were not solved. So during the month to come be will see futile efforts to solve economic problems by enormous injections of borrowed money into economy.  And then world capitals will come to end.

6) Hyperinflation
Begins between 4th quarter of 2009 and the middle of 2010.
After world capitals come to end there will be to ways for USA.
First is to allow things to go as they mast. It means deflationary collapse, which will destroy American financial system and then – whole economy. After that USA will rapidly transform into big Honduras. Or, maybe, into a couple of Hondurases. In any case America won’t be a superpower anymore (at least during the nearest century). It’s a very bad variant for USA.
Second is to print many trillions of dollars and to begin a hyperinflation. It’ll help USA to solve their problems. It is better variant for USA, so since 2010 we will see artificially made hyperinflation with devaluation of a direct public debt and pension obligations, significant reduction of real budgetary expenses and debt burden of the population, depreciation of workforce and increase of profitability of business, concentration of national property in hands of national elite. Also we will see collapse of US Treasures and temporary growth of stock, commodity and real estate markets. Hyperinflation, explosive devaluation of US dollar. It’ll help USA to bring a new life to their economy and imperial system and to bring total economic collapse into the majority of other countries.

7) Global economic collapse
From 2010 to 2014 and even further.
Development of global geopolitical conflict, collapse of national economies, collapse or physical disappearance of all markets, destruction of world economic relations and Jamaican currency system. Civil wars, regional conflicts and the Third World War.
After this period comes to end (near 2018) the new long wave will begin. And if USA realize their aims, it’ll be also American epoch, more American, then the previous one. And, maybe, it’ll be the last epoch of mankind as we know it, because there are cucarachas who will be the main beneficiaries of the Great Depression 3 and following World War IV in 2050th – 2060th.